Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: The BIG HELP Stadium (Southport)


	Everton U21		Burnley U21

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.95	5.5
	1.38	5.44	5.33
	1.42	5.35	5.57	Watch
	1.36	4.8	5.75
	1.33	5.2	6.37	Watch
	1.4	5	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	5.12 ↑ (4.45)	5.7 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton U21
66.2%

Draw
17.8%

Burnley U21
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

20.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

19.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton U21's performance.

Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (+2%)

Everton U21 - Burnley U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lukjanciks D. (G) 2. Samuels-Smith O. 3. Van Schoor J. 4. Welch R. (C) 5. Thomas A. 8. Gomez F. 6. Bates C. 7. Boakye K. 10. Akarakiri A. 11. Graham B. 9. Ebere C.	1. Casper C. (G) 2. King C. 3. Pimlott O. 4. Egan-Riley R. 5. Campbell M. 6. Brierley G. (C) 8. Clark E. 7. Johnson Z. 10. Pouani B. 11. Masara V. 9. McMahon-Brown K.
Substitutes
17. Loney C. 14. Moonan B. 15. Olayiwola M. 12. Patrick S. (G) 16. Pita S.	16. Leuluai M. 18. Okonkwo D. 17. Scanlon L. 15. Scott C. 14. Stanley M.
Coaches
Tait P.	Farrell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gomez F. 🟨,
39', Gomez F. ↓, Olayiwola M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 0, Graham B. ⚽, Ebere C. (A),
60', Akarakiri A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Boakye K. ⚽, Bates C. (A),
66', Boakye K. ↓, Pita S. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, McMahon-Brown K. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Clark E. 🟨,
75', King C. ↓, Scanlon L. ↑,
75', Masara V. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
79', Pouani B. ↓, Leuluai M. ↑,
86', Ebere C. ↓, Loney C. ↑,
86', Johnson Z. ↓, Okonkwo D. ↑,
86', Egan-Riley R. ↓, Stanley M. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 2, Clark E. ⚽, Okonkwo D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 27).

Everton U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burnley U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Everton U21 is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Everton U21	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
22	Burnley U21	4	1	0	3	8:9	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton U21
English Premier League 2
06.02.26	Arsenal U21 - Everton U21	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Everton U21	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Everton U21 - Manchester City U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
20.01.26	Everton U21 - RB Leipzig II	5:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
09.01.26	Everton U21 - Leicester City U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWWL
- Burnley U21
English Premier League Cup
09.02.26	Burnley U21 - Brentford U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.01.26	Burnley U21 - Reading U21	1:3 ✺
23.01.26	Arsenal U21 - Burnley U21	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Burnley U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Manchester City U21 - Burnley U21	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL

Everton U21 - Burnley U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide