The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton U21 41.5%
Draw 23.8%
Middlesbrough U21 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.7%
22.7%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
23.2%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Everton U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Everton U21 - Middlesbrough U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pickford G. (G) 2. Finney G. 4. Gardner L. (C) 5. Dodds J. 3. Carrington E. 8. Matos M. 6. Patterson J. 10. Olayiwola M. 11. Graham B. 9. Loney C. 7. Nsangou J.
1. Foster O. (G) 4. Tika-Lemba E. 3. Okonola A. 5. Wilson J. 2. Patterson-Powell R. 8. McCabe L. (C) 6. Greenup I. 7. Carbon J. 11. Smith T. 9. Ibeh C. 10. Campbell L.
Substitutes
12. Barnsley F. (G) 16. Bates C. 18. Benjamin O. 19. Clarke J. 15. Gomez F. 17. Pita S. 14. van Schoor J.
16. Cole C. 21. Connor S. (G) 12. Coulson F. 14. Harrison L. 15. Listowell H. L. 17. Roberts J.
Coaches
Hughes D.
Tinkler M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Ibeh C. ⚽, Okonola A. (A),
23', Wilson J. 🟨,
24', Olayiwola M. 🟨,
25', Ibeh C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Patterson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Olayiwola M. ↓, Bates C. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Graham B. ⚽, Gardner L. (A),
60', Carbon J. 🟨,
68', Nsangou J. ↓, Pita S. ↑,
72', Tika-Lemba E. ↓, Coulson F. ↑,
81', Loney C. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
84', Carbon J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
90+1', Patterson J. 🟨,
Preview
In recent outings, Everton U21 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Middlesbrough U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Everton U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Everton U21 has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Everton U21 has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Everton U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Everton U21
5
2
2
1
6:4
2
8
29
Middlesbrough U21
6
0
2
4
9:14
-5
2
Last Results with these Odds
Everton U21 - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.