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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa U21 34.6%
Draw 23.8%
Middlesbrough U21 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
23.4%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
23%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa U21's form might have worsened.
Middlesbrough U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aston Villa U21 - Middlesbrough U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Earley B. (G) 2. Burgess W. 5. Routh L. (C) 4. Carroll T. 3. Fortes R. 6. Jenner M. 8. Lynskey A. 7. Johnson O. 10. Brannigan C. 11. Blake J. 9. Meade M.
1. Foster O. (G) 2. Tika-Lemba E. 5. Dede J. 6. Okonola A. 3. Bangura A. 8. McCabe L. (C) 4. Greenup I. 7. Listowell H. L. 10. Campbell L. 11. Patterson-Powell R. 9. Ibeh C.
Substitutes
18. Adediran D. 12. Bloomfield T. 16. Boyd F. 13. J. Garthwaite 14. Mudame V. 17. Mulley T. 15. Quinn K.
21. Connor S. (G) 17. Coulson F. 12. James D. 16. Smith T. 14. Tohill E. 15. Wilson J.
Coaches
Shan J.
Tinkler M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Johnson O. ⚽, Meade M. (A),
13', Greenup I. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Campbell L. ⚽, Listowell H. L. (A),
27', 1 - 2, Lynskey A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bangura A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Johnson O. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
60', Routh L. 🟨,
60', Ibeh C. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Campbell L. ↓, Coulson F. ↑,
66', Brannigan C. ↓, Mulley T. ↑,
66', Lynskey A. ↓, Boyd F. ↑,
71', Dede J. 🟨,
73', Burgess W. 🟨,
74', Johnson O. 🟨,
79', Patterson-Powell R. ↓, Tohill E. ↑,
79', Meade M. ↓, Bloomfield T. ↑,
79', Blake J. ↓, Adediran D. ↑,
86', Dede J. 🟨,
89', Listowell H. L. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa U21 won 2.
In recent outings, Aston Villa U21 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Middlesbrough U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Middlesbrough U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Aston Villa U21 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Middlesbrough U21 has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa U21 has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aston Villa U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).
Watch
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Earley B. (G) 
Burgess W. 
Fortes R. 
Lynskey A. 
Brannigan C. 
Dede J. 
Bangura A. 
Listowell H. L. 
J. Garthwaite 
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