Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Royale Union SG 2

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.42	4.35	5.7
	1.45	4.49	6.25
	1.53	4.48	4.94	Watch
	1.41	4.3	6.37
	1.42	4.35	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)	4.36 ↑ (4)	5.79 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
63.3%

Draw
20.9%

Royale Union SG 2
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

22.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

22%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Royale Union SG 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Royale Union SG 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royale Union SG 2 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royale Union SG 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excelsior Virton - Royale Union SG 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Relegation Group: )).

Virton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Royale Union SG 2 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Virton is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Virton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
27.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Charleroi B - Excelsior Virton	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Excelsior Virton	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Crossing Schaerbeek	5:2 ✺
31.08.25	Habay-la-Neuve - Excelsior Virton	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTWL
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
28.09.25	Standard Liège U23 - Royale Union SG 2	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Royale Union SG 2 - Mons	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Union Rochefortoise - Royale Union SG 2	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Royale Union SG 2 - Habay-la-Neuve	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Royale Union SG 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
23.11.24	Excelsior Virton - Royale Union SG 2	4:2
07.09.24	Royale Union SG 2 - Excelsior Virton	1:2

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