Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Union Rochefortoise

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.1
	1.41	4.57	6.93
	1.4	4.46	6.61	Watch
	1.36	4	6.5
	1.39	4.33	6.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.32 ↓ (4.46)	6.55 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
65.2%

Draw
21%

Union Rochefortoise
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Union Rochefortoise have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Rochefortoise than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virton won 2.

Recent performances by Virton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Union Rochefortoise is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Virton is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Virton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Virton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Union Rochefortoise	7	4	2	1	14:7	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
21.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Mons	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- Union Rochefortoise
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
21.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Meux	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Union Rochefortoise	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Tubize	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Mons - Union Rochefortoise	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Standard Liège U23 - Union Rochefortoise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
09.11.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:4
27.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:2
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	1:2
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
26.04.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	1:1
30.03.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:0
26.01.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:2
02.11.24	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	1:3

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