Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.89	3.54	4.35
	1.79	3.54	4.36
	1.77	3.44	4.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.19)	3.46 ↑ (3.15)	4.17 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
51.1%

Draw
26.7%

Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excelsior Virton - Sint Eloois Winkel Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Bantu R. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Virton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
20.03.24	URSL Vise - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Namur - Excelsior Virton	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	RAAL La Louvière - Excelsior Virton	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Excelsior Virton - Gent B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLW
- Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport
Belgian National Division 1
20.03.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Knokke	2:2 ✺
15.03.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Royal Antwerp 2	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Lokeren - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Charleroi B	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Thes Sport - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
17.12.23	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Excelsior Virton	4:0

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