Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA A WOMEN - APERTURA - ROUND 19

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Excursionistas		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.3	4.75	8
	1.39	5.12	5.89
	1.32	4.2	8.5
	1.33	4.8	7.9
	1.34	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	4.68 ↑ (4)	7.45 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
68.3%

Draw
19.5%

Defensores de Belgrano
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 19).

Recent matches Excursionistas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Excursionistas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
17.06.23	Racing - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
13.06.23	Excursionistas - Platense	2:2 ✺
08.06.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
02.06.23	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Banfield - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.7 WTTLT
- Defensores de Belgrano Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
20.06.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Independiente	1:0 ✺
13.06.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Defensores de Belgrano	4:2 ✺
28.05.23	Defensores de Belgrano - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
06.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Excursionistas	1:1

Excursionistas - Defensores de Belgrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide