Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Express		Arua Hill

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.87	4
	1.94	2.9	3.7
	1.95	2.7	4
	2.08	3.02	3.9
	1.98	3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.15)	2.9 ↑ (2.86)	3.89 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
45.7%

Draw
31.1%

Arua Hill
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Express - Arua Hill Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Express will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Arua Hill will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Express: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent matches Express is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arua Hill is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arua Hill could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Express will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Express won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Express won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
28.11.22	Wakiso Giants - Express	3:2 ✺
22.11.22	Express - Bright Stars	0:2 ✺
16.11.22	Busoga United - Express	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Express - Bul	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Onduparaka - Express	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW
- Arua Hill SC
Ugandan Super League
27.11.22	Arua Hill - Onduparaka	2:1 ✺
23.11.22	Entebbe UPPC - Arua Hill	2:0 ✺
19.11.22	Arua Hill - Villa	0:1 ✺
15.11.22	Vipers - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
21.05.22	Arua Hill - Express	1:0
15.10.21	Express - Arua Hill	0:2

Express - Arua Hill