Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Arua Hill		Onduparaka

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.64	3.2	4.8
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.69	3.4	4.6
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	3.34 ↑ (3.27)	4.68 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arua Hill
53.9%

Draw
26.9%

Onduparaka
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

19%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Onduparaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arua Hill that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onduparaka than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Onduparaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Arua Hill is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Onduparaka has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arua Hill could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arua Hill is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arua Hill won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Arua Hill won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arua Hill SC
Ugandan Super League
23.11.22	Entebbe UPPC - Arua Hill	2:0 ✺
19.11.22	Arua Hill - Villa	0:1 ✺
15.11.22	Vipers - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
04.11.22	Arua Hill - UPDF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Onduparaka FC
Ugandan Super League
23.11.22	Onduparaka - Wakiso Giants	0:0 ✺
15.11.22	Bright Stars - Onduparaka	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Onduparaka - Busoga United	0:1 ✺
02.11.22	Bul - Onduparaka	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Onduparaka - Express	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
06.05.22	Onduparaka - Arua Hill	0:3
26.10.21	Arua Hill - Onduparaka	0:0

Arua Hill - Onduparaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide