Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Extremadura UD		Calahorra

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Extremadura UD
29.3%

Draw
30.9%

Calahorra
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

21.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Extremadura UD's form might have worsened.

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calahorra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Extremadura UD is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Calahorra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.11.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Extremadura UD	Dep. La Coruna awarded ✺
07.11.21	Extremadura UD - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Badajoz - Extremadura UD	2:0 ✺
22.10.21	Extremadura UD - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Leonesa - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?LLTL
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.11.21	Calahorra - Tudelano	3:0 ✺
06.11.21	Valladolid B - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Calahorra - San Sebastian Reyes	3:2 ✺
24.10.21	Zamora - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
15.10.21	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLL

Extremadura UD - Calahorra