Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Calahorra		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.33
	1.77	3.2	4.1
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.3	4.1
	1.79	3.44	4.65
	1.75	3.36	4.45
	1.81	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.27)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)	4.25 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
51%

Draw
27.5%

Real Unión de Irun
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calahorra's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calahorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 3.

Calahorra is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Unión is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calahorra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Calahorra is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Osasuna B - Calahorra	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Calahorra - Numancia	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	SD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
02.10.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Sabadell - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
19.10.22	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
12.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Terrassa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.03.22	Real Unión de Irun - Calahorra	0:2
15.10.21	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.20	Real Unión de Irun - Calahorra	0:0
24.08.19	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:0
28.04.19	Real Unión de Irun - Calahorra	0:1
08.12.18	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.08.17	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	1:0

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