Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 19

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Piteå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.00	5.00
	1.82	3.5	3.8
	1.83	3.93	3.62
	1.58	4.44	4.72	Watch
	1.74	3.95	3.75
	1.78	3.78	4.08	Watch
	1.7	3.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.55)	3.89 ↓ (3.95)	4.1 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
53.9%

Draw
23.6%

Piteå
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

21.7%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBK Karlstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

FBK Karlstad - Piteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 3. Parleholt A. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.	31. Eriksson F. (C) 8. Berglund C. 25. Hoeve Q. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 18. Johnson J. 28. Jordan L. 5. Kavur B. 7. Muyenga A. 19. Wikstrom I.
Substitutes
15. Ahlstedt D. 14. Buisson B. 9. Johansson Bahar F. 19. Rolandsson N. (G) 23. Rostlund A.	23. Lindgren L. 14. Lundback J. 29. Naslund H. 17. Sulaiman K. 1. Svard L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Wikstrom I. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Steen L. ⚽,
36', Jordan L. ↓, Naslund H. ↑,
41', 2 - 1, Navassardian E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 2, Naslund H. ⚽,
52', 3 - 2, Steen L. ⚽,
60', 3 - 3, Hoeve Q. ⚽,
84', 4 - 3, (Own goal),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

FBK Karlstad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Piteå is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, FBK Karlstad is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, FBK Karlstad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, FBK Karlstad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Enköping	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWTL
- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Piteå - AIK	0:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	Piteå - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Arlanda - Piteå	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Piteå - Gefle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.05.26	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	1:5
06.10.24	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	2:3
23.06.24	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	2:3

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