Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Norra - Round 27

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		Stocksund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.6	2.85
	2.1	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.16	3.96	2.87
	2.15	3.95	2.88	Watch
	2.13	3.8	2.86	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (3.04)	3.8 ↓ (3.9)	2.88 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
43.7%

Draw
24.2%

Stocksund
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

22.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piteå's performance.

Stocksund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stocksund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piteå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stocksund than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stocksund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Piteå - Stocksund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (G) 3. Berglin W. 20. Brevik B. 13. Brilhante A. 5. Cabdi H. 21. Johansson F. 6. Kaller J. 2. Millbert H. (C) 4. Solomons D. 22. Steen V. 30. Videhult W.	31. Bjorklund W. (G) 3. af Ugglas L. 2. Bennarp F. (C) 4. Edeland M. 20. Flensborg J. 18. Lundstrom J. 10. Marrah K. 12. Norrman M. 9. Wagberg N. 5. Wallenborg A. 8. Yemane Y.
Substitutes
1. Adell T. (G) 27. From A. 17. Kabundu G. 11. Kargbo M. 10. Lundback J. 19. Wikstrom I. 15. Wimbabazi K.	7. Aliyu I. S. 14. Caselius F. 1. Hedman S. (G) 13. Rylander E. 6. Tesfai E. 16. Ulfberg H. 19. Wetterqvist A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Johansson F. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Marrah K. ⚽,
39', Edeland M. 🟨,
45', Videhult W. ↓, Lundback J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
64', Cabdi H. 🟨,
74', Brevik B. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stocksund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Piteå won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Piteå won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.10.24	Täby - Piteå	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	2:3 ✺
29.09.24	United Nordic - Piteå	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Piteå - Sollentuna	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Örebro Syrianska - Piteå	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLLW
- IFK Stocksund
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.10.24	Stocksund - Sollentuna	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Hammarby TFF - Stocksund	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Stocksund - Karlstad	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Vasalund - Stocksund	6:2 ✺
13.09.24	Stocksund - Karlberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.05.24	Stocksund - Piteå	4:1
01.10.23	Stocksund - Piteå	0:1
07.04.23	Piteå - Stocksund	2:3

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