Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	FC Merseburg		Grimma

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.82
	3.2	3.35	1.92
	3.75	3.6	1.71
	4.09	3.92	1.77
	3.16	4.02	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.92)	3.74 ↓ (4)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Merseburg
26.1%

Draw
24.3%

Grimma
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

22.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

17.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Merseburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Grimma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Merseburg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimma than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Merseburg - Grimma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

FC Merseburg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grimma is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grimma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches FC Merseburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Merseburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Merseburg
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
02.10.21	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - FC Merseburg	5:0 ✺
26.09.21	FC Merseburg - Plauen	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Krieschow - FC Merseburg	9:0 ✺
12.09.21	FC Merseburg - Carl Zeiss Jena II	0:7 ✺
29.08.21	Einheit Wernigerode - FC Merseburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Grimma
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
02.10.21	Grimma - Halle	0:3 ✺
26.09.21	Wacker 90 Nordhausen - Grimma	3:2 ✺
19.09.21	Grimma - Einheit Rudolstadt	3:0 ✺
11.09.21	Bischofswerdaer - Grimma	3:1 ✺
28.08.21	Grimma - Blau-Weiß Zorbau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
03.10.19	FC Merseburg - Grimma	3:1

FC Merseburg - Grimma

Match Info

Current Win Probability

FC Merseburg - Grimma Predictions

Preview

Form

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