Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA EAST - ROUND 16

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen		Ardagger

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.33	6
	1.47	4.37	5.66
	1.47	4.37	5.66
	1.4	4.33	5.5
	1.42	4.3	6.05
	1.43	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.79)	4.35 ↑ (3.82)	5.77 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
63.4%

Draw
20.9%

Ardagger
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen's performance.

Ardagger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ardagger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardagger than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ardagger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Ardagger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Traiskirchen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ardagger is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ardagger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Traiskirchen is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
Austrian Regionalliga East
07.11.23	Austria Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Draßburg - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Donaufeld Wien	1:3 ✺
13.10.23	Kremser - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Oberwart	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW
- SCU Ardagger
Austrian Regionalliga East
04.11.23	Ardagger - TWL Elektra	3:2 ✺
27.10.23	Austria Wien II - Ardagger	3:0 ✺
20.10.23	Ardagger - Draßburg	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Donaufeld Wien - Ardagger	3:0 ✺
06.10.23	Ardagger - Kremser	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWLW

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