Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadionul Arcul de Triumf (Bucharest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Boskovic M. (Mne)


	FCSB		Nordsjælland

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.9	3.4	2.4
	3.02	3.38	2.4
	2.91	3.44	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.3)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.36 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
32.4%

Draw
28%

Nordsjælland
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nordsjælland's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nordsjælland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	24%	44%

FCSB - Nordsjælland Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Nordsjælland will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nordsjælland: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 28. Pantea A. 5. Dawa J. 21. Chiriches V. 33. Radunovic R. 88. Djokovic D. 8. Sut A. 27. Olaru D. (C) 98. Cordea A. 9. Compagno A. 7. Coman F.	13. Hansen A. (G) 23. Villadsen O. 39. Nagalo A. 30. Jensen-Abbew J. 5. Frese M. 10. Diomande M. (C) 6. Tverskov J. 29. Dorgeles M. 37. Nuamah E. 7. Ingvartsen M. 14. Osman I.
Substitutes
2. Cretu V. 18. Edjouma M. 22. Gheorghe V. 6. Harut D. 16. Lixandru M. 30. Ngezana S. 3. Pantiru I. 10. Popescu O. 23. Popescu O. 80. Radaslavescu E. 99. Vlad A. (G)	22. Antman O. 42. Barslund K. 28. Coulibaly L. 25. Eriksson C. (G) 11. Hansen M. 19. Hey L. 15. Marxen E. 47. Munck M. 9. Nygren B. 40. Schandorf C. H. W. 21. Sertdemir Z. 27. Svensson D.
Coaches
Charalampous I.	Thorup J.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

FCSB in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nordsjælland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FCSB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.23	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	FCSB - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
29.07.23	Oţelul Galaţi - FCSB	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.07.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
22.07.23	FCSB - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
06.08.23	Nordsjælland - Brøndby	3:1 ✺
31.07.23	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	1:3 ✺
24.07.23	Nordsjælland - Viborg	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Magdeburg - Nordsjælland	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Nordsjælland - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.26	Universitatea Cluj - FCSB	✺
Romanian Cup
29.10.26	Gloria Bistrița - FCSB	✺
- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
01.11.26	Nordsjælland - Midtjylland	✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
28.10.26	Esbjerg - Nordsjælland	✺

FCSB - Nordsjælland