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Current Win Probability
AGF Aarhus 52.3%
Draw 24.7%
Nordsjælland 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.9%
25.1%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
24.2%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
30%
0%
AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 50.6% – 100%.
1. Hansen J. (G) 2. Beijmo F. (C) 3. Dalsgaard H. 19. Kahl E. 11. Links G. 4. Knudsen M. 17. Yakob K. 39. Emmery F. 31. Bech T. 10. Arnstad K. 13. Serra J.
13. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ankersen P. 3. Salquist T. (C) 36. Yirenkyi C. 25. Lahteenmaki J. 18. Janssen J. 47. Heyde M. 23. Norheim R. 37. Sadio L. 14. Adel I. 11. Lind A.
Substitutes
26. Andersen J. 57. Bogere J. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 8. Jorgensen S. 20. Kristjansson T. 14. Molgaard T. 9. Mortensen P. 5. Tingager F.
15. Acquah S. 10. Amoako P. 29. Berthelsen V. 6. Brink M. 22. Gulstorff Pedersen A. (G) 32. Gustafsen V. 45. Markmann N. 17. Nene L. 40. Rasmussen H.
Coaches
Poulsen J.
Olsen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lahteenmaki J. ⚽, Sadio L. (A),
14', Sadio L. 🟨,
36', Yirenkyi C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adel I. ↓, Amoako P. ↑,
48', Lind A. 🟨,
62', Serra J. ↓, Mortensen P. ↑,
62', Lind A. ↓, Nene L. ↑,
62', Ankersen P. ↓, Markmann N. ↑,
66', Janssen J. 🟨,
73', Yakob K. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
77', Heyde M. ↓, Gustafsen V. ↑,
77', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Brink M. ↑,
82', Emmery F. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
82', Bech T. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
82', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Tingager F. ⚽, Beijmo F. (A),
89', Amoako P. 🟨,
90+1', Hansen A. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aarhus has had a series of away games.
In this match, Aarhus is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Aarhus: Carstensen R.
(Inactive)
Haugstrup O.
(Inactive)
Poulsen N.
(Inactive)
Tchamche S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Nordsjælland: Alio S.
(Injury)
Busk J.
(Broken Leg)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
Rojkjaer N.
(Injury)
Solbakken O.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Aarhus: Solbakken M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Nordsjælland: Lind A.
(Injury)
Markmann N.
(Injury)
Norheim R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.5:1.7).
Denmark
North Macedonia
Norway
Serbia
Sweden
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Hansen J. (G) 
Beijmo F. (C) 
Links G. 
Knudsen M. 
Yakob K. 
Serra J. 
Yirenkyi C. 
Lahteenmaki J. 
Sadio L. 
Adel I. 
Bogere J. 
Kristjansson T. 
Nene L. 
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