Match Info

Superliga - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	FCSB		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.50	7.00	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.00
	1.41	4.35	6.75
	1.42	4.85	7.71
	1.38	4.91	7.36	Watch
	1.39	4.65	7.75
	1.37	5.12	7.97	Watch
	1.35	4.60	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.6)	4.72 ↑ (3.45)	7.29 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
67.5%

Draw
19.7%

Petrolul Ploieşti
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FCSB's performance.

Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FCSB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolul Ploieşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: FCSB will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 97. Labonne R. 5. Dawa J. 21. Batubinsika D. 4. Padurariu R. 73. Muhar K. 15. Arad O. 11. Miculescu D. (C) 31. Cisotti J. 9. Korenica M. 14. Garita A.	38. Zima L. (G) 22. Tutu M. 71. Malula B. 24. Zaian A. 2. Dumitrescu A. 8. Lucho Vega 20. Hanca S. (C) 10. Bran Flores A. J. 7. Martins R. 9. N'Lundulu D. 19. Santos Teixeira L.
Substitutes
28. Boutoutaou A. 2. Cretu V. 10. Dragus D. 8. Gnahore E. 18. Joao Paulo 98. Popa D. 13. Popa M. (G) 33. Radunovic R. 77. Stancu L. 90. Stoian A. 22. Toma M. 34. Udrea M. (G)	26. Argesanu L. 66. Capusa T. 28. Costache M. 18. Huseynov C. 80. Ionita M. 99. Israel D. 98. Jerdea R. 30. Leescu R. 29. Ludewig K. 40. Manolache R. 21. Paraschiv D. 1. Radulescu S. (G)
Coaches
Baciu M.	Sousa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, N'Lundulu D. ⚽, Bran Flores A. J. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Arad O. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 2 - 1, Korenica M. ⚽,
26', Muhar K. 🟨,
41', Cisotti J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muhar K. ↓, Gnahore E. ↑,
46', Arad O. ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
46', Padurariu R. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Malula B. ⚽, Lucho Vega (A),
67', Hanca S. ↓, Ionita M. ↑,
71', Miculescu D. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
73', N'Lundulu D. 🟨,
80', Korenica M. ↓, Boutoutaou A. ↑,
83', Bran Flores A. J. ↓, Capusa T. ↑,
84', Santos Teixeira L. ↓, Huseynov C. ↑,
84', Martins R. ↓, Ludewig K. ↑,
89', Garita A. ↓, Stoian A. ↑,
90+1', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Israel D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FCSB won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, FCSB is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in FCSB: Batubinsika D. (Inactive) Duarte A. (Red Card) Ngezana S. (Knee Injury) Politic D. (Inactive) Popescu M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ploiesti: Papp P. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FCSB won 9 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, FCSB won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of Romanian SuperLiga for now

FCSB: 7.47% Petrolul: 3.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Petrolul	10	6	1	3	13:12	1	19
11	FCSB	10	3	3	4	13:17	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

FCSB - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.26%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
05.09.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - FCSB	2:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
02.09.26	Argeș Pitești - FCSB	0:5 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.08.26	FCSB - UTA Arad	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	CFR Cluj - FCSB	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	FCSB - Botoșani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
06.09.26	Petrolul Ploieşti - Corvinul Hunedoara	2:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
01.09.26	Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
28.08.26	Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:3 ✺
21.08.26	Petrolul Ploieşti - Rapid Bucureşti	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
18.08.26	Reșița - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
24.04.26	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:1
22.11.25	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
19.07.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	0:1
06.02.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	0:0
21.09.24	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1
03.03.24	FCSB - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0
28.10.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	2:2

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