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Current Win Probability
Farul Constanța 49.9%
Draw 26.4%
Petrolul Ploieşti 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.9%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
28.8%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farul Constanța's performance.
Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrolul Ploieşti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farul Constanța that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolul Ploieşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Farul will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Ploiesti (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ploiesti (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Munteanu R. (G) 24. Bouzamoucha S. 17. Larie I. (C) 6. Dican V. 8. Vina I. 23. Njike T. 70. Ahlinvi M. 11. Ganea C. 10. Sylvestre E. 9. Hyseni M. 20. Radaslavescu E.
38. Zima L. (G) 22. Tutu M. 4. Papp P. (C) 71. Malula B. 2. Dumitrescu A. 19. Santos Teixeira L. 8. Lucho Vega 20. Hanca S. 7. Martins R. 9. N'Lundulu D. 10. Bran Flores A. J.
Substitutes
1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 29. Goncear A. 30. Grigoryan N. 33. Joao Ferreira 2. Maftei D. 99. Marincean R. 80. Popescu N. 71. Tanasa R. 3. Ticu V. 27. Traore H.
66. Capusa T. 28. Costache M. 12. Georgescu S. (G) 18. Huseynov C. 80. Ionita M. 99. Israel D. 30. Leescu R. 29. Ludewig K. 21. Paraschiv D. 24. Zaian A.
Coaches
Sabau I.
Sousa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ganea C. ⚽, Vina I. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Ahlinvi M. ⚽, Radaslavescu E. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Bran Flores A. J. ⚽, Santos Teixeira L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Dican V. 🟨,
63', Sylvestre E. ↓, Grigoryan N. ↑,
63', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Marincean R. ↑,
63', Hyseni M. ↓, Tanasa R. ↑,
63', Lucho Vega ↓, Ionita M. ↑,
63', Hanca S. ↓, Israel D. ↑,
70', Israel D. 🟨,
75', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Popescu N. ↑,
78', Papp P. ↓, Leescu R. ↑,
78', Tutu M. ↓, Capusa T. ↑,
78', Bran Flores A. J. ↓, Ludewig K. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Marincean R. ⚽, Tanasa R. (A),
89', Dumitrescu A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farul won 5.
Farul has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ploiesti is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ploiesti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Farul is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Farul: Hyseni M.
(Inactive)
Pellegrini L.
(Leg Injury)
Sirbu D.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Ploiesti: Jerdea R.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Farul has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:17 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Farul against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Petrolul
13
7
2
4
18:17
1
23
7
Farul Constanta
13
5
5
3
21:20
1
20
Last Results with these Odds
Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Croatia
Romania
Watch
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Munteanu R. (G) 
Bouzamoucha S. 
Ahlinvi M. 
Hyseni M. 
Zima L. (G) 
Malula B. 
Santos Teixeira L. 
Lucho Vega 
N'Lundulu D. 
Bran Flores A. J. 
Grigoryan N. 
Joao Ferreira 
Traore H. 
Huseynov C. 
Israel D. 
Ludewig K. 
Zaian A. 
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