The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farul Constanța 49.2%
Draw 25.9%
Petrolul Ploieşti 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.9%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farul Constanța's performance.
Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrolul Ploieşti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farul Constanța that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolul Ploieşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Farul will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Ploiesti (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ploiesti (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farul won 5.
Farul has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ploiesti shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ploiesti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Farul is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Farul has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:17 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Farul against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Petrolul
10
6
1
3
13:12
1
19
9
Farul Constanta
10
3
5
2
14:14
0
14
Last Results with these Odds
Petrolul Ploieşti - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.