Match Info

Superliga - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	FCSB		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.12	3.25	3.2
	2.31	3.4	3.15
	2.13	3.26	3.41	Watch
	2.12	3.42	3.23	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	3.26 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
43.8%

Draw
27.8%

Universitatea Craiova
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

FCSB - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FCSB: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Uni Craiova (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - FCSB (1.49) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - FCSB (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FCSB will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. FCSB (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Uni Craiova (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 28. Pantea A. 30. Ngezana S. 17. Popescu M. 33. Radunovic R. 10. Tanase F. 8. Sut A. 31. Cisotti J. 27. Olaru D. (C) 90. Stoian A. 9. Birligea D.	77. Isenko P. (G) 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. (C) 3. Romanchuk O. 18. Radulescu M. 23. Teles 8. Baluta T. 20. Cicaldau A. 2. Stefan F. 39. Nsimba S. 12. Etim M.
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 7. Alibec D. 21. Chiriches V. 2. Cretu V. 12. Kiki D. 11. Miculescu D. 20. Politic D. 37. Popescu O. 93. Thiam M. 22. Toma M. 34. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)	9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 14. Houri L. 30. Matei D. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 19. Mogos V. 17. Mora C. 7. Paradela L. 21. Popescu L. (G) 24. Stevanovic N.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Radoi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Radulescu M. ↓, Matei D. ↑,
15', Pantea A. 🟨,
15', Nsimba S. 🟨,
26', Teles 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Tanase F. (Pen),
45+6', Cicaldau A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stoian A. ↓, Toma M. ↑,
46', Pantea A. ↓, Miculescu D. ↑,
46', Toma M. 🟨,
49', Rus A. 🟨,
58', Cicaldau A. 🟨,
62', Birligea D. ↓, Alibec D. ↑,
67', Romanchuk O. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
67', Nsimba S. ↓, Baiaram S. ↑,
67', Etim M. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
71', Olaru D. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
78', Tanase F. (Pen),
83', Stefan F. ↓, Paradela L. ↑,
89', Miculescu D. 🟨,
90+1', Tanase F. ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
90+6', Tarnovanu S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FCSB won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Uni Craiova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

FCSB will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in FCSB: Cercel I. (Injury) Dawa J. (Knee Injury) Lixandru M. (Injury)

There will not play in Uni Craiova: Bancu N. (Red Card)

There are questionable in FCSB: Edjouma M. (Injury) Graovac D. (Muscle Injury) Miculescu D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FCSB won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, FCSB won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

FCSB - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.67%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	FCSB - Young Boys	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
28.09.25	FCSB - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Go Ahead Eagles - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
19.09.25	Botoșani - FCSB	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - FCSB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLT
- CS Universitatea Craiova
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.09.25	Universitatea Craiova - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Universitatea Craiova - Farul Constanța	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Botoșani - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
17.05.25	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	1:0
13.04.25	Universitatea Craiova - FCSB	0:0
09.03.25	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	1:0
Romanian Cup
18.12.24	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	0:2
Romanian SuperLiga
03.11.24	Universitatea Craiova - FCSB	1:1
06.05.24	Universitatea Craiova - FCSB	2:0
07.04.24	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	2:0

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