Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu (Voluntari)

Referee: Cojocaru A. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	Voluntari		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.67	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.68	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.02	3.9	1.68
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	4.85	3.8	1.69	Watch
	4.9	3.75	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (3.6)	3.74 ↑ (3.41)	1.68 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Voluntari
19.8%

Draw
24.8%

Universitatea Craiova
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

26.3%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Voluntari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Voluntari's form might have worsened.

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitatea Craiova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voluntari than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Voluntari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitatea Craiova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Voluntari - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Voluntari will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Craiova: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 2. Paz C. 34. Matricardi P. 5. Armas I. (C) 27. Boboc R. 24. Ricardinho 72. Voican R. 23. Carnat N. 22. Rata V. 77. Nemec A. 9. Dumiter A.	21. Popescu L. (G) 23. Capatina M. 6. Screciu V. 34. Raul Silva 11. Bancu N. 4. Cretu A. 27. Kurtic J. 14. Houri L. 37. Danciu M. 19. Koljic E. 28. Mitrita A.
Substitutes
17. Andrei D. 19. Bozickovic L. 25. Cocian A. 4. Crepulja L. 11. Florea D. 21. Nita A. 20. Popescu R. 8. Radut M.	15. Badelj J. 10. Baiaram S. 7. Isfan A. 9. Ivan A. 1. Lazar D. (G) 20. Markovic J. 8. Mateiu A. 12. Ndong B. 24. Roguljic A.
Coaches
Poenaru I.	Papura C.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Voluntari won 2.

Voluntari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universitatea Craiova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Universitatea Craiova is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Voluntari won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 18-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Voluntari won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Voluntari
Romanian SuperLiga
30.09.23	UTA Arad - Voluntari	0:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
26.09.23	Voluntari - Farul Constanța	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
23.09.23	Voluntari - Politehnica Iași	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Hermannstadt - Voluntari	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Voluntari - CFR Cluj	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
01.10.23	Universitatea Craiova - Botoșani	5:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
27.09.23	Tunari - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
23.09.23	Universitatea Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Universitatea Craiova - Sepsi OSK	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
26.02.23	Voluntari - Universitatea Craiova	1:0
30.09.22	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	1:1
30.04.22	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	1:0
18.03.22	Voluntari - Universitatea Craiova	3:1
11.12.21	Voluntari - Universitatea Craiova	1:1
09.08.21	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	3:0
26.01.21	Voluntari - Universitatea Craiova	1:1

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