Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kaplakriki (Hafnarfjördur)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Fram

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.05
	3.05	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.13	3.9	2.12
	3.09	3.89	2.09	Watch
	3	3.4	2.05
	3.09	3.62	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.64)	3.69 ↓ (3.91)	2.08 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
30.4%

Draw
25.1%

Fram
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

24.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

24.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FH Hafnarfjordur's form might have worsened.

Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FH Hafnarfjordur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hafnarfjordur will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fram will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Fram (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fram will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fram (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 2. Jonsson B. 22. Olafsson I. (C) 6. Gunnarsson G. 37. Helgason B. 23. Robertsson T. 40. Saevarsson R. 14. Birgisson A. 9. Finnbogason Kr. 7. Halldorsson K. 33. Bjornsson U.	22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. (C) 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 10. Fred Saraiva 12. Tibbling S. 18. Jonasson A. 17. Jonasson A. 29. Dimitrijevic V.
Substitutes
24. Arnarsson D. (G) 4. Carlsson T. 3. Frostason K. S. 32. Gislason G. 10. Hjaltested S. 19. Jonsson A. 8. Kristjansson K. 39. Thorsson B. 66. Vidarsson V.	23. Aegisson M. 15. Bystrom J. 16. Garcia I. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 38. Hedinsson G. A. 7. Konradsson K. 33. Pauzuolis K. 14. Runolfsson B. 25. Sigurdsson F.
Coaches
Gudjonsson J.	Kristinsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Birgisson A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Jonasson A. ⚽, Dimitrijevic V. (A),
11', 2 - 1, Robertsson T. ⚽, Bjornsson U. (A),
45', 3 - 1, Bjornsson U. ⚽, Halldorsson K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 3 - 2, Thorbjornsson T. ⚽, Fred Saraiva (A),
64', Finnbogason Kr. ↓, Vidarsson V. ↑,
64', Olafsson I. 🟨,
64', Robertsson T. ↓, Hjaltested S. ↑,
65', 3 - 3, Chopart K. ⚽, Fred Saraiva (A),
71', Gunnarsson G. 🟨,
73', 3 - 4, Chopart K. ⚽, Fred Saraiva (A),
75', Saevarsson R. ↓, Kristjansson K. ↑,
76', Birgisson A. ↓, Gislason G. ↑,
83', Fred Saraiva ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
86', Jonasson A. 🟨,
90', Gunnarsson G. ↓, Thorsson B. ↑,
90', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
90+5', Jonasson A. ↓, Sigurdsson F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 0.

Hafnarfjordur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fram has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Hafnarfjordur has had a series of away games.

Recently, Fram has had a series of home games.

Fram might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 43:29. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:15. (average 3.2:1.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.04.26	KR Reykjavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:2 ✺
23.04.26	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Stjarnan - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.04.26	Thor Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.04.26	Fram - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	5:1 ✺
23.04.26	Thor Akureyri - Fram	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fram - Keflavík	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Fram - Akraness	3:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.04.26	Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
25.10.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	3:4
14.09.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	2:2
15.06.25	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:0
Icelandic Cup
19.04.25	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.09.24	Fram - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:3
31.05.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	3:3
23.06.23	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	4:0

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