Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Thor Akureyri		Fram

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.9	2.2
	2.74	4.09	2.29
	2.66	4.41	2.23	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.15
	2.54	4.36	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.98)	4.11 ↑ (3.75)	2.22 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
35.3%

Draw
22.7%

Fram
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.2%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

23.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Thor Akureyri - Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Fram will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (G) 18. Ingason S. 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 15. Kristjansson K. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 9. Haugland S. 11. Atanga I.	22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. (C) 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 12. Tibbling S. 17. Jonasson A. 29. Dimitrijevic V.
Substitutes
31. Fridriksson K. 17. Gislason F. 37. Gunnarsson S. 30. Helgason P. 22. Hlynsson A. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 4. Runarsson H.	23. Aegisson M. 15. Bystrom J. 10. Fred Saraiva 16. Garcia I. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 7. Konradsson K. 14. Runolfsson B.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Kristinsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sigurdsson F. ↓, Fred Saraiva ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Haugland S. ⚽, Jakobsen C. (A),
57', McLagan K. 🟨,
61', Atanga I. 🟨,
63', Atanga I. ↓, Hlynsson A. ↑,
63', Haugland S. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
64', Sigurjonsson A. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
64', Thorbjornsson T. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
64', Jonasson A. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
79', McLagan K. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
81', Jakobsen C. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
90', Jonasson A. 🟨,
90', Halldorsson E. ↓, Fridriksson K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Fram has had a series of home games.

Fram could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Thor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.04.26	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	5:2 ✺
12.04.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.04.26	Thor Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:4 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
17.03.26	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.04.26	Fram - Keflavík	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Fram - Akraness	3:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
04.04.26	Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:4 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
06.03.26	Keflavík - Fram	4:3 ✺
28.02.26	Fram - Vestri	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
27.07.21	Thor Akureyri - Fram	0:2
21.05.21	Fram - Thor Akureyri	4:1
Icelandic League Cup
13.02.21	Fram - Thor Akureyri	3:2
Icelandic Division 1
26.09.20	Thor Akureyri - Fram	0:2
26.07.20	Fram - Thor Akureyri	6:1
14.09.19	Fram - Thor Akureyri	3:0
05.07.19	Thor Akureyri - Fram	3:0

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