The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FK Beograd 37.6%
Draw 25.5%
West Torrens Birkalla 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
26%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
26.1%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
West Torrens Birkalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for West Torrens Birkalla aligns with the current prediction.
FK Beograd - West Torrens Birkalla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 3.
Beograd has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
West Torrens is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
West Torrens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Beograd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Beograd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
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