Match Info
NPL South Australia - Round 12Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Karinya Reserve (Eden Hills)
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Sturt Lions |
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FK Beograd |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.78 |
3.8 |
2.05 |
Watch |
 |
2.62 |
3.95 |
2.3 |
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2.9 |
4.22 |
2.02 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
3.5 |
2.25 |
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2.7 |
3.75 |
2.15 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(3.36) |
3.84 ↑
(3.76) |
2.15 ↑
(1.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sturt Lions
33.6% | Draw
23.8% | FK Beograd
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturt Lions's performance.FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FK Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturt Lions that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sturt Lions - FK Beograd Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Sturt Lions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Beograd is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL South Australian | | | 28.02.26 | FK Beograd - Sturt Lions | 1:3 | | 11.08.23 | FK Beograd - Sturt Lions | 3:1 | | 06.05.23 | Sturt Lions - FK Beograd | 0:1 | | 13.08.22 | Sturt Lions - FK Beograd | 1:0 | | 21.05.22 | FK Beograd - Sturt Lions | 1:1 |
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