Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 14

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	FSV Frankfurt		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.95	3.6	2.15	Watch
	3.03	3.81	2.36
	2.97	3.8	2.19
	2.93	3.64	2.16
	2.9	3.55	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.41)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	2.19 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FSV Frankfurt
31.8%

Draw
25.6%

VfR Aalen
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FSV Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FSV Frankfurt's form might have worsened.

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VfR Aalen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FSV Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FSV Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VfR Aalen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frankfurt won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Frankfurt won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Frankfurt won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Frankfurt
German Regionalliga Sudwest
14.10.23	Stuttgarter Kickers - FSV Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	FSV Frankfurt - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:3 ✺
03.10.23	Mainz II - FSV Frankfurt	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	FSV Frankfurt - Hessen Kassel	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	TuS Koblenz - FSV Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWW
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
14.10.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen	2:3 ✺
03.10.23	VfR Aalen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Hoffenheim II - VfR Aalen	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	VfR Aalen - Eintracht Frankfurt II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.05.23	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	1:0
19.11.22	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	2:1
26.03.22	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	0:0
02.10.21	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:0
01.05.21	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	0:2
15.12.20	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:2
14.09.19	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	0:4

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