Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 12

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Schott Mainz		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.93
	3.3	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.93	1.91
	3.35	3.7	1.96
	3.3	3.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (5.05)	3.73 ↓ (4.5)	1.93 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
27.7%

Draw
24.7%

VfR Aalen
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

20.6%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

20.2%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schott Mainz's performance.

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VfR Aalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schott Mainz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VfR Aalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Schott Mainz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aalen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aalen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aalen to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Schott Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Schott Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.10.23	Stuttgarter Kickers - Schott Mainz	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Schott Mainz - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:4 ✺
23.09.23	Mainz II - Schott Mainz	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	0:5 ✺
09.09.23	TuS Koblenz - Schott Mainz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
03.10.23	VfR Aalen - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Hoffenheim II - VfR Aalen	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	VfR Aalen - Eintracht Frankfurt II	3:2 ✺
15.09.23	VfR Aalen - Balingen	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Stuttgarter Kickers - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.12.21	Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen	2:0
21.08.21	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	3:1
27.03.21	Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen	1:1
10.10.20	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	3:1

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