Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iran	16:45	Fars TV


	Fajr Sepasi		Paykan

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.00	2.70
	2.52	3	2.72
	2.5	2.97	2.75
	2.55	3.24	2.72	Watch
	2.4	2.85	2.55
	2.47	3.02	2.62	Watch
	2.49	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.44)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.68 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
36.3%

Draw
30%

Paykan
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Paykan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fajr Sepasi - Paykan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 7. Pahlevan E. 77. Fadakar S. 5. Nasiri M. 2. Vosoughifard A. 11. Moradi M. 6. Rigi M. 17. Shahabi H. 12. Tavakoli S. 9. Sharifi M. 10. Rostami Y.	1. Pourhamidi H. (G) 18. Madadizadeh A. 5. Bagheri M. 6. Mohebi S. 2. Gholami A. 8. Najafi M. 10. Shekari R. 66. Dehghan A. 11. Amiri F. 77. Jamshidi E. 72. Shoushtari H.
Substitutes
99. Arab F. 16. Bahraminejad M. 80. Falamarzi E. 27. Faramarzi M. 3. Helichi A. 15. Jahanbakhsh D. 29. Moredi A. 70. Nokhodkar H. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 18. Rezaei M. 76. Shabani A.	13. Abbasi A. (G) 61. Asadi J. 14. Bagheri F. 55. Fathi A. 88. Hadian E. 80. Hakimzadeh M. 70. Karami I. 29. Mashayekh M. 47. Radin A. 15. Sayyar M. 12. Shojaei A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Fadakar S. ⚽, Shahabi H. (A),
44', Pahlevan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mohebi S. ↓, Bagheri F. ↑,
52', Gholami A. 🟨,
63', Fadakar S. ↓, Arab F. ↑,
63', Sharifi M. ↓, Moredi A. ↑,
64', Jamshidi E. ↓, Asadi J. ↑,
64', Najafi M. ↓, Sayyar M. ↑,
71', Nasiri M. 🟨,
73', Shekari R. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Rostami Y. ⚽,
85', Amiri F. 🟨,
87', Vosoughifard A. ↓, Faramarzi M. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Fajr Sepasi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Fajr Sepasi has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fajr Sepasi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fajr Sepasi	10	3	5	2	10:12	-2	14
12	Paykan	10	2	4	4	7:10	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Paykan - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
13.10.26	Fajr Sepasi - Aluminium Arak	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Sepahan - Fajr Sepasi	6:1 ✺
07.09.26	Foolad Khuzestan - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Fajr Sepasi - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTT
- Paykan
Iran Pro League
10.10.26	Paykan - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Esteghlal - Paykan	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Paykan - Sanat Naft	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Zob Ahan - Paykan	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Paykan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.11.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:2
Iran Division 1
25.02.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
Iran Pro League
28.02.22	Fajr Sepasi - Paykan	1:1
19.11.21	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
Iran Division 1
14.01.16	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0
Iran Pro League
05.05.13	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	1:2
28.11.12	Fajr Sepasi - Paykan	0:0

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