Match Info

Date: 28 February 2022, Monday


	Fajr Sepasi		Paykan

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.65	2.25
	3.65	2.6	2.21
	3.97	2.45	2.39
	3.9	2.5	2.2
	3.82	2.68	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.35)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)	2.26 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
24%

Draw
35.5%

Paykan
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

34.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

25.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Paykan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paykan than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paykan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fajr Sepasi - Paykan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 5).

Fajr Sepasi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Paykan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paykan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fajr Sepasi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
23.02.22	Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
18.02.22	Fajr Sepasi - Sanat Naft	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Fajr Sepasi - Nassaji Mazandaran	1:1 ✺
13.01.22	Persepolis - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLTL
- Paykan
Iran Pro League
23.02.22	Paykan - Tractor Sazi	0:0 ✺
18.02.22	Zob Ahan - Paykan	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Paykan - Havadar	1:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
08.02.22	Paykan - Esteghlal	0:1 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
23.01.22	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Paykan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
19.11.21	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	0:1
Iran Division 1
14.01.16	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0
Iran Pro League
05.05.13	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	1:2
28.11.12	Fajr Sepasi - Paykan	0:0

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