Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Fakel Voronezh 2		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	6	4.4	1.4
	5.75	4.5	1.4
	5.8	4.4	1.37
	5.94	4.5	1.38
	6.65	4.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↓ (6.7)	4.5 ↓ (5.5)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Voronezh 2
15%

Draw
20%

Ryazan
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

16.5%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

14.7%

78.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Voronezh 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Voronezh 2 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel Voronezh 2 - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fakel 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ryazan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ryazan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fakel 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.09.21	Ryazan - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:1 ✺
14.09.21	Kaluga - Fakel Voronezh 2	2:1 ✺
10.09.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:2 ✺
04.09.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Salyut Belgorod	0:8 ✺
20.08.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLLL
- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.09.21	Ryazan - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:1 ✺
14.09.21	Ryazan - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Kaluga - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
29.08.21	Ryazan - Dynamo Bryansk	0:4 ✺
21.08.21	Zenit Penza - Ryazan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
18.09.21	Ryazan - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:1
29.04.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Ryazan	1:2
23.08.20	Ryazan - Fakel Voronezh 2	3:0

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