Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday


	Kaluga		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.65	2.6
	2.8	2.65	2.65
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.81	2.64	2.66
	2.6	3.28	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.04)	2.79 ↓ (2.98)	2.61 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
33%

Draw
32.3%

Ryazan
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

21.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaluga's form might have worsened.

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryazan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Kaluga - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kaluga has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ryazan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.08.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Kaluga - Sakhalin	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Kaluga - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:2 ✺
01.08.21	Salyut Belgorod - Kaluga	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Kairat Moscow - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.08.21	Ryazan - Dynamo Bryansk	0:4 ✺
21.08.21	Zenit Penza - Ryazan	0:3 ✺
15.08.21	Avangard Kursk - Ryazan	0:3 ✺
07.08.21	Ryazan - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:2 ✺
04.08.21	Ryazan - Sakhalin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
01.04.21	Ryazan - Kaluga	2:0
15.08.20	Kaluga - Ryazan	1:2
Russian PFL Center
23.10.19	Kaluga - Ryazan	2:3
04.05.19	Kaluga - Ryazan	5:0
22.09.18	Ryazan - Kaluga	1:2
11.11.17	Ryazan - Kaluga	3:0
18.08.17	Kaluga - Ryazan	1:1

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