Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 10

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)


	Falkenberg		Åtvidaberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	5	7.75
	1.29	5	8.5
	1.27	5.33	7.23
	1.26	5.35	9.5
	1.28	5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.51)	5.14 ↑ (3.6)	8.24 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
71.3%

Draw
17.7%

Åtvidaberg
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkenberg's performance.

Åtvidaberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkenberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åtvidaberg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Falkenberg - Åtvidaberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 2. Johansson G. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 5. Eriksson A. 12. Carlsson C. 28. Nilsson M. 11. Arlig W. 30. Aguda G. 14. Gotfredsen R. 9. Hintsa O.	1. Claesson H. (G) 3. Thulin C. 4. Petersson A. 5. Ahmadi M. 7. Askar H. 10. Tannus B. (C) 20. Chabo E. 8. Stejdahl O. 19. Bergstrom A. 23. Johansson K. 24. Segura J.
Substitutes
88. Christiansson O. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 8. Hellden T. 99. Hintsa E. 33. Larsson M. 10. Shahin L. 17. Sibelius L.	9. Andersson L. 2. Carebo F. 17. Creutz C. 6. Jusic A. 22. Lennartsson H. 30. Lindblad F. 29. Lindblom F.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Falkenberg won 4.

Falkenberg is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Åtvidaberg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Falkenberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falkenberg is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Falkenberg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Falkenberg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.05.23	Lunds - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
17.05.23	Falkenberg - Tvååker	3:0 ✺
12.05.23	Vänersborgs IF - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Ängelholm - Falkenberg	0:3 ✺
01.05.23	Falkenberg - Ljungskile	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWL
- Åtvidabergs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.05.23	Åtvidaberg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Eskilsminne - Åtvidaberg	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Åtvidaberg - AFC Malmö	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Åtvidaberg - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
01.05.23	Trollhättan - Åtvidaberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.08.22	Falkenberg - Åtvidaberg	3:0
04.06.22	Åtvidaberg - Falkenberg	0:4
Swedish Superettan
20.08.17	Falkenberg - Åtvidaberg	2:0
23.04.17	Åtvidaberg - Falkenberg	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.10.15	Falkenberg - Åtvidaberg	6:0
19.04.15	Åtvidaberg - Falkenberg	3:1
17.08.14	Falkenberg - Åtvidaberg	3:0

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