Match Info

Superettan - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Disney+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.05	3.45	3.45	Watch
	2.16	3.42	3.6
	1.11	9.00	17.12	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.4	3.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	4.18 ↑ (3.3)	5.31 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
54.6%

Draw
25.4%

Sandviken
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

23.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkenberg's performance.

Sandviken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkenberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandviken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	16%	8%

Falkenberg - Sandviken Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Sandviken will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkenberg: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.67) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH 0 - Falkenberg (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Falkenberg will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 16. Kallstrom H. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 17. Sibelius L. 22. Ekblom V. 21. Andersson A.	1. Sveijer H. (G) 2. Thorn G. (C) 45. Harletun K. 23. Engqvist E. 12. Redenstrand C. 11. Bohm K. 8. Soderberg D. 5. Lofstrom O. 10. Simba M. 9. Thellsson C. W. I. 20. Carlsson P.
Substitutes
9. Gotfredsen R. 26. Hindi S. 2. Johansson G. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 19. Lindberg O. 10. Shahin L. 14. Shears I.	14. Backman V. 30. Lindell O. (G) 13. Lindholm I. 22. Soderholm A. 6. Vabo L. 4. Van der Laan V. 24. Yaliso Yaya Y.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Abdulic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Andersson A. ⚽, Sibelius L. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Aguda G. ⚽, Ekblom V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Ekblom V. 🟨,
73', Soderberg D. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
73', Thorn G. ↓, Yaliso Yaya Y. ↑,
73', Bohm K. ↓, Van der Laan V. ↑,
74', Sibelius L. ↓, Gotfredsen R. ↑,
74', Kallstrom H. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
79', Carlsson P. ↓, Backman V. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Van der Laan V. (Own goal),
82', Ekblom V. ↓, Shahin L. ↑,
85', Aguda G. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
85', Andersson A. ↓, Shears I. ↑,
88', Engqvist E. ↓, Lindholm I. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Shears I. ⚽, Lindberg O. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Falkenberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sandviken's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Falkenberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Falkenberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Sölvesborg - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Helsingborg - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Falkenberg - Brage	0:1 ✺
04.08.25	Umeå - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Falkenberg - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWT
- Sandvikens IF
Svenska Cupen
21.08.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Sandviken	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
17.08.25	Sandviken - Landskrona	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sundsvall - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sandviken - Brage	2:5 ✺
26.07.25	Oddevold - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Sandviken - Falkenberg	4:1

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