Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Famalicão U23		Estrela da Amadora U23

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.80	4.75
	1.71	3.55	4.00
	1.57	4.24	5.17
	1.79	4.01	3.84	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.20
	1.63	4.37	4.37	Watch
	1.52	3.95	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	4.59 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão U23
56.9%

Draw
23.1%

Estrela da Amadora U23
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Estrela da Amadora U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão U23 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Famalicão U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Famalicão U23 (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 13th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 19th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão U23 won 4.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Estrela U23 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Famalicão U23 for this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Famalicão U23 has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:4 (averaging 1.7:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Famalicão U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Famalicao U23	8	3	2	3	15:16	-1	11
19	Estrela U23	8	1	2	5	7:15	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Famalicão U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.09.26	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Famalicão U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Estoril U23 - Famalicão U23	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Farense U23 - Famalicão U23	4:3 ✺
25.08.26	Famalicão U23 - Felgueiras U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
06.10.26	Felgueiras U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Moreirense U23	2:2 ✺
08.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Maritimo U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.04.25	Famalicão U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1
05.02.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Famalicão U23	0:0
09.04.24	Famalicão U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	4:0
06.02.24	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Famalicão U23	0:2
07.03.23	Famalicão U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:0
01.02.23	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Famalicão U23	3:2
24.08.22	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Famalicão U23	0:1 penalties

Famalicão U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide