Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leixões U23		Famalicão U23

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.62	2.63
	2.44	3.65	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.55
	2.44	3.64	2.6
	2.41	3.3	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.51)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.57 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões U23
38%

Draw
26.2%

Famalicão U23
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

25.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

24.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Famalicão U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão U23 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 14th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões U23 won 2.

Leixões U23 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Famalicão U23 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leixões U23 has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:34 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leixões U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Famalicao U23	7	2	2	3	13:15	-2	8
15	Leixoes U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Famalicão U23 - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.09.26	Farense U23 - Leixões U23	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:4 ✺
01.09.26	Penafiel U23 - Leixões U23	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Leixões U23 - Leiria U23	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leixões U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTLW
- Famalicão U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.09.26	Famalicão U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Estoril U23 - Famalicão U23	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Farense U23 - Famalicão U23	4:3 ✺
25.08.26	Famalicão U23 - Felgueiras U23	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Moreirense U23 - Famalicão U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.03.26	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2
13.01.26	Famalicão U23 - Leixões U23	2:2
04.11.25	Famalicão U23 - Leixões U23	1:3
20.08.25	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	3:2
18.12.24	Famalicão U23 - Leixões U23	1:1
02.10.24	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	0:3
05.12.23	Famalicão U23 - Leixões U23	3:2

Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide