Match Info

Azadegan League - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Fard Alborz		Havadar

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.80	3.10
	2.27	2.92	3.29	Watch
	2.24	2.8	3.28	Watch
	2.23	2.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	2.83 ↓ (2.85)	3.21 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fard Alborz
40.1%

Draw
31.8%

Havadar
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

31.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fard Alborz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fard Alborz than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Fard Alborz - Havadar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Havadar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 16th in the Relegation).

In recent outings, Fard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Havadar is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Fard is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Fard has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fard against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fard	7	3	2	2	9:6	3	11
16	Havadar SC	7	0	2	5	1:10	-9	2

Last Results with these Odds

Havadar - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 27.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fard Alborz
Iran Division 1
19.10.26	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fard Alborz	4:2 ✺
11.10.26	Fard Alborz - Shahin Bandar Ameri	3:0 ✺
04.10.26	Naft Masjed Soleyman - Fard Alborz	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fard Alborz - Shenavarsazi Qeshm	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Niroye Zamini - Fard Alborz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW
- Havadar SC
Iran Division 1
12.10.26	Palayesh Naft - Havadar	1:1 ✺
05.10.26	Havadar - Pars Jonoubi Jam	0:1 ✺
28.09.26	Ario Eslamshahr - Havadar	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Havadar - Besat Kermanshah	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.02.26	Havadar - Fard Alborz	1:0
30.09.25	Fard Alborz - Havadar	0:1

Fard Alborz - Havadar