Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Farense U23		Mafra U23

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.98	3.35	3.4
	2	3.53	3.55
	2	3.53	3.56	Watch
	1.94	3.4	3.46	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense U23
46.5%

Draw
27%

Mafra U23
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mafra U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Farense U23 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra U23 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Farense U23 - Mafra U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Ibouka K. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense U23 won 2.

Farense U23 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mafra U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farense U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Farense U23 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:18 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Farense U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
04.03.25	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	0:3 ✺
25.02.25	Farense U23 - Leixões U23	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Braga U23 - Farense U23	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Santa Clara U23 - Farense U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLWW
- Mafra U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
04.03.25	Mafra U23 - Braga U23	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Mafra U23 - Rio Ave U23	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Portimonense U23 - Mafra U23	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Mafra U23 - Leixões U23	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Santa Clara U23 - Mafra U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.25	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	2:0
26.11.24	Farense U23 - Mafra U23	5:1
27.08.24	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	1:1
26.04.24	Farense U23 - Mafra U23	3:2
20.02.24	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	0:0
24.10.23	Farense U23 - Mafra U23	1:4
08.08.23	Mafra U23 - Farense U23	1:2

Farense U23 - Mafra U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide