Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday


	Farsley		Fylde

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.1	1.75
	3.55	4.1	1.72
	3.3	4.2	1.75
	3.41	4.21	1.78
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	3.5	4.15	1.75	Watch
	3.35	4.3	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.38)	4.12 ↑ (3.15)	1.76 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
26.5%

Draw
22%

Fylde
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylde's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylde, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	22.2%	72.2%

Farsley - Fylde Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Farsley will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Fylde will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fylde: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Farsley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fylde is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fylde will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
13.09.22	Blyth Spartans - Farsley	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	2:4 ✺
29.08.22	Darlington - Farsley	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Brackley Town - Farsley	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLTW
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
13.09.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Fylde - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Fylde - Southport	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Chester - Fylde	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Fylde - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.22	Farsley - Fylde	1:2
02.04.22	Fylde - Farsley	2:1
23.10.21	Farsley - Fylde	1:0
31.10.20	Fylde - Farsley	2:0
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Farsley - Fylde	1:3

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