Match Info

National League North - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham) 🌤️ ...


	Fylde		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.46	4.35	5.7
	1.53	4.38	5.34	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	4.38	6
	1.44	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	4.27 ↓ (4.46)	5.8 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
62.7%

Draw
21.5%

Scarborough Athletic
15.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

20.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fylde - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Ormerod D. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Maloney L. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Ormerod D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Fylde is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Scarborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Fylde has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fylde is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fylde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Scarborough	13	4	3	6	19:18	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Hereford - Fylde	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League North
03.01.26	Bedford Town - Fylde	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Radcliffe - Fylde	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Fylde - Chorley	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
10.01.26	Scarborough Athletic - Chester	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Southport - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Spennymoor Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Fylde	2:1
21.01.23	Scarborough Athletic - Fylde	1:2
20.08.22	Fylde - Scarborough Athletic	0:2

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