Match Info

Superliga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Stadium Hagi Academy (Ovidiu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Farul Constanța		Oţelul Galaţi

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.30
	2.12	3.3	3.05
	2.22	3.52	3.27
	2.17	3.46	3.18	Watch
	2.17	3.45	3.15
	2.09	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)	3.37 (3.37)	3.18 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farul Constanța
43.4%

Draw
27.5%

Oţelul Galaţi
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Oţelul Galaţi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oţelul Galaţi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farul Constanța, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oţelul Galaţi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oţelul Galaţi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Farul Constanța - Oţelul Galaţi Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Munteanu R. (G) 24. Bouzamoucha S. 17. Larie I. (C) 6. Dican V. 8. Vina I. 23. Njike T. 70. Ahlinvi M. 11. Ganea C. 30. Grigoryan N. 99. Marincean R. 20. Radaslavescu E.	1. Dur-Bozoanca C. (G) 44. Zator D. 3. Christopoulos G. 6. Iacob P. (C) 28. Silva M. 17. Ciobanu A. 8. Brito R. 39. Lungu T. 77. Balanica A. 9. Patrick 27. Pedro N.
Substitutes
1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 29. Goncear A. 4. Gustavo Marins 33. Joao Ferreira 19. Kitala Y. 2. Maftei D. 21. Pellegrini L. 80. Popescu N. 71. Tanasa R. 3. Ticu V. 27. Traore H.	18. Aftene D. 24. Bordun D. 14. Cojoc R. 13. Contra M. (G) 30. Frunza M. 16. Neicu D. 15. Neicu D. 11. Ze Turbo
Coaches
Sabau I.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Ahlinvi M. ⚽, Vina I. (A),
13', Balanica A. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Ahlinvi M. ⚽, Ganea C. (A),
30', Dican V. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Marincean R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Lungu T. ↓, Frunza M. ↑,
46', Balanica A. ↓, Bordun D. ↑,
55', 3 - 1, Zator D. ⚽, Pedro N. (A),
59', Grigoryan N. ↓, Tanasa R. ↑,
59', Marincean R. ↓, Goncear A. ↑,
63', Ganea C. 🟨,
71', 4 - 1, Goncear A. ⚽, Munteanu R. (A),
74', 4 - 2, Bordun D. ⚽,
77', Radaslavescu E. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Bordun D. ⚽,
79', Brito R. ↓, Aftene D. ↑,
79', Pedro N. ↓, Ze Turbo ↑,
83', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Popescu N. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 14th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farul won 2.

Farul has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Oţelul has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Farul may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Farul holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Farul: Pellegrini L. (Leg Injury) Sirbu D. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Oţelul: Ne Lopes (Injury) Postelnicu R. (Knee Injury) Ze Turbo (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Farul: Aberdin N. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Oţelul: Zhelev M. (Inactive).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Farul has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:12 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Farul against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Farul Constanta	13	5	5	3	21:20	1	20
14	Otelul	13	2	5	6	15:21	-6	11

Outrights of Romanian SuperLiga for now

Farul Constanta: 2.4% Otelul: 0.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Farul Constanța - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.37%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
18.10.26	Universitatea Craiova - Farul Constanța	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Farul Constanța	4:0 ✺
11.09.26	Farul Constanța - UTA Arad	4:2 ✺
04.09.26	CFR Cluj - Farul Constanța	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWT
- Oţelul Galaţi
Romanian SuperLiga
16.10.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	FCSB - Oţelul Galaţi	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Oţelul Galaţi - FC Bacău	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.09.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Corvinul Hunedoara	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Universitatea Cluj - Oţelul Galaţi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.26	Farul Constanța - Oţelul Galaţi	0:0
Romanian SuperLiga
09.05.26	Oţelul Galaţi - Farul Constanța	3:2
23.11.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Farul Constanța	2:2
20.07.25	Farul Constanța - Oţelul Galaţi	3:2
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Farul Constanța - Oţelul Galaţi	2:1
Romanian SuperLiga
16.05.25	Oţelul Galaţi - Farul Constanța	0:0
22.11.24	Farul Constanța - Oţelul Galaţi	0:1

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