Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Fasiledes Stadium (Gonder)


	Fasil Kenema		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.78	3.2
	2.22	2.77	3.45
	2.33	2.83	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.9)	2.79 ↓ (3.1)	3.3 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
39.9%

Draw
32.5%

Dire Dawa City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

30.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

29%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dire Dawa City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.

Fasil Kenema is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dire Dawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fasil Kenema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
09.11.25	Mechal - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
23.10.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWT
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
08.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Dire Dawa City	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Dire Dawa City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.04.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:1
31.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	1:2
05.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:2
05.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:3
28.05.23	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	2:1
09.12.22	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:2
01.07.22	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	3:2

Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide