Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Dire Dawa Stadium (Dire Dawa)


	Welwalo Adigrat		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	4.95	2.92	1.75
	6.28	2.92	1.73
	3.93	2.88	2.04	Watch
	5.97	3.03	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.93)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	1.82 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
17.5%

Draw
31.5%

Fasil Kenema
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

31.8%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welwalo Adigrat's form might have worsened.

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fasil Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Welwalo Adigrat (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Welwalo Adigrat (votes: 1 - 25%). Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mutakubwa J. (G) 27. Beyene B. 6. Burka W. 2. Gebremedhin N. 18. Gebru D. 14. Haftey S. 29. Hailemariam N. 9. Konkoni H. 20. Mesfin M. 10. Solomon F. 16. Wondimu K.	1. Pouaty M. (G) 47. Aweke D. 13. Biruk A. 4. Debebe M. 18. Gebregiorgis N. 12. Getachew B. 8. Gizawe B. 21. Tilahun A. 20. Wasswa G. 15. Yohannes A. 10. Zelalem K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Gizawe B. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Fasil Kenema is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
18.10.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Sidama Coffee	1:4 ✺
25.06.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	3:0 ✺
15.06.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1 ✺
03.06.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
19.10.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
24.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	2:2 ✺
10.06.25	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
03.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	1:2
05.12.24	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
03.02.20	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
12.05.19	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
06.01.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	0:0

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