Match Info

1. Lig - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Ataturk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.00	2.10	Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	3.2	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.55	2.19
	3.29	3.44	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.1
	3.26	3.28	2.05
	3.2	3.2	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.68)	3.3 (3.3)	2.11 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
28.4%

Draw
27.9%

Bursaspor
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.2%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Karagümrük (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 25. Sarikaya M. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 6. Yalcin R. 33. Kurukalip C. 7. Kalayci B. 20. Siopis M. 10. Verde D. 5. Akbaba E. 11. Cukur T. 72. Pesic A.	98. Matisli K. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 24. Babacan A. 57. Yayikci B. 93. Gok B. 10. Lincoln 6. Elitim J. 27. Bayramov T. 7. Akbunar H. (C) 73. Boutrah A. 14. Iheanacho K.
Substitutes
26. Ahmed T. 21. Baskale C. 28. Cinar A. 14. Doh M. 24. Ersoy B. 3. Nukan A. 19. Onogo Y. 23. Sen B. (G) 8. Tokoz D. 9. Tosun C.	34. Akcan E. 8. Aydogdu S. 42. Baker L. 20. Basyigit B. 5. Basyigit E. 4. Ersoy E. 99. Furat E. 9. Gultekin E. 39. Kivanc A. (G) 18. Yavru Z.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Er M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Pesic A. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
17', Bayramov T. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Verde D. ⚽, Pesic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bayramov T. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
56', Verde D. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
56', Kalayci B. ↓, Tokoz D. ↑,
63', Gok B. ↓, Ersoy E. ↑,
63', Berisbek R. ↓, Basyigit B. ↑,
72', Yayikci B. ↓, Basyigit E. ↑,
74', Akbaba E. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
74', Akbunar H. ↓, Furat E. ↑,
75', Pesic A. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
78', Siopis M. ↓, Nukan A. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Lincoln (A),
89', Babacan A. 🟨,

Preview

Bursaspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16:7	9	19
9	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
15.08.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
16.05.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWW
- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
15.08.26	Bursaspor - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Bodrumspor - Bursaspor	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Bursaspor - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.04.26	Bursaspor - Somaspor	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Ankara Demirspor - Bursaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.01.20	Bursaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1
17.08.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	3:1
Turkish Cup
05.02.15	Bursaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
17.12.14	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bursaspor	1:1

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