Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 4h 35m 📅 Remind Me


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Somaspor

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	6.25
	1.33	4.80	7.00
	1.32	5.00	6.40
	1.32	4.7	6.61
	1.36	4.89	6.7	Watch
	1.29	4.45	6.45
	1.35	4.8	7.65	Watch
	1.34	5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	4.83 ↑ (4.11)	6.71 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
67.9%

Draw
18.7%

Somaspor
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Somaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Karagümrük may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Karagümrük holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
24.10.26	Sarıyer - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Mardin 1969 - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLTW
- Somaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
24.10.26	Guzide Gebzespor - Somaspor	4:1 ✺
18.10.26	Somaspor - Aliaga	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.10.26	Somaspor - Alanya 1221	4:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
26.09.26	Ankaraspor - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Somaspor - Muş Spor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
31.10.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	✺

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Somaspor