Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Felanitx		Formentera

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	2.94	3.08	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felanitx
30.8%

Draw
29.4%

Formentera
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.8%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felanitx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Felanitx - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Vaccarini G. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Tello Ribas C. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Felanitx may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.11.25	Inter Ibiza - Felanitx	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Felanitx - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Cardassar - Felanitx	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Felanitx - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Felanitx - Manacor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTTL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
12.11.25	Son Cladera - Formentera	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Portmany - Formentera	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Formentera - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Collerense - Formentera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTWT

Felanitx - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide