Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Formentera		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.15	1.88
	3.96	3.24	1.86
	3.76	3.15	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (3.96)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
23.6%

Draw
28.5%

Peña Deportiva
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

28.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Formentera - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Formentera won 2.

Recent performances by Formentera have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peña Deportiva is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Peña Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peña Deportiva is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Formentera won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Formentera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.11.25	Son Cladera - Formentera	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Portmany - Formentera	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Formentera - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Collerense - Formentera	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Formentera - Santanyí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTWTT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.11.25	Peña Deportiva - Inter Ibiza	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Llosetense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Cardassar	5:1 ✺
19.10.25	Manacor - Peña Deportiva	0:5 ✺
12.10.25	Peña Deportiva - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1
22.10.23	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	1:2
22.01.23	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	0:1
04.09.22	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:0
15.05.22	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	3:0
09.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:3
07.01.18	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	0:1

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