Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Sukru Saracoglu Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Fenerbahçe		Maribor

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	11	Watch
	1.22	6	11
	1.22	6	12
	1.22	6	11
	1.22	6.1	13.58
	1.22	6.4	12	Watch
	1.23	6.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	6.08 ↑ (5.5)	11.94 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
76.7%

Draw
15.5%

Maribor
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

17.3%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

13.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	7.4%	3.7%

Fenerbahçe - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayindir A. (G) 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 14. Luan Peres 7. Kadioglu F. 26. Zajc M. 80. Yuksek I. 10. Tadic D. 17. Kahveci I. C. 9. Dzeko E. (C) 15. King J.	1. Jug A. (G) 20. Watson M. 6. Pihler A. 23. Uskokovic L. 22. Milec M. (C) 55. Lorber M. 15. Repas J. 14. Urata I. 24. Kolar M. 17. Jakupovic A. 7. Brnic I.
Substitutes
3. Akaydin S. 97. Akyuz F. O. (G) 23. Batshuayi M. 27. Crespo M. 6. Djiku A. 70. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Elmaz B. 11. Kent R. 16. Muldur M. 22. Nayir U. 24. Oosterwolde J. 53. Szymanski S.	16. Antolin A. 81. Bergsen M. (G) 8. Bozic M. 72. Ilicic J. 25. Karic S. 32. Mitrovic N. 31. Rafiu I. 11. Skuka X. 3. Strajnar M. 4. Vrhovec B. 52. Zalokar M. (G) 29. Zinic A.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Krznar D.

Preview

1st leg.

Fenerbahçe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maribor in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fenerbahçe is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.23	Zimbru Chişinău - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
26.07.23	Fenerbahçe - Zimbru Chişinău	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Neftchi Baku - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
12.07.23	Fenerbahçe - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:3 ✺
09.07.23	Zenit - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLT
- NK Maribor
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Maribor - Differdange 03	4:3 ET ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.07.23	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Differdange 03 - Maribor	1:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
23.07.23	Radomlje - Maribor	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Birkirkara - Maribor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWW

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