Match Info

Prva liga - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Matosa M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Maribor		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.50	6.00
	1.4	4.4	6.3	Watch
	1.43	5.04	6.82
	1.43	4.85	6.37	Watch
	1.4	4.9	6.05
	1.36	4.5	6.75	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.67 ↑ (4.46)	6.36 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maribor
65.7%

Draw
19.8%

Aluminij Kidricevo
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.9%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (C) 25. Blazic M. 7. Cipot T. 99. Feta B. 5. Jevsenak Z. 23. Karnicnik Z. 21. Koderman V. 6. Mbondo B. 17. Mlakar J. 70. Tshipamba I. 4. Viher N.	31. Raduha F. (G) 14. Jagic T. (C) 11. Osuji B. 44. Petrisko P. 4. Schaubach R. 6. Simunic D. 80. Sorensen H. 45. Susso B. 32. Tezak V. 13. Vrbanec M. 33. Zajsek D.
Substitutes
8. Goncalves C. 43. Handanovic T. (G) 39. Lainovic I. (G) 38. Osterc N. 11. Reghba A. 10. Repas Z. 14. Seri J. 55. Spanring M. . Taylor E. 29. Vizinger D. 19. Zabukovec A. 79. Zahovic L.	25. Bajraj M. 27. Blazic M. 9. Bloudek A. 5. Boben M. 23. Kramberger E. . Mladenovic M. 24. Modric T. 1. Mrezar A. (G) 10. Ramsak R. 18. Rogina S. 66. Tomazic L. (G)
Coaches
Milanic D.	Arsic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Simunic D. 🟨,
19', Osuji B. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Tshipamba I. ⚽, Cipot T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Petrisko P. ⚽,
65', Viher N. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
65', Feta B. ↓, Repas Z. ↑,
74', Petrisko P. ↓, Ramsak R. ↑,
79', Mlakar J. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
80', Osuji B. ↓, Mladenovic M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Tezak V. ⚽,
83', Jevsenak Z. ↓, Vizinger D. ↑,
88', Sorensen H. ↓, Rogina S. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Zahovic L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maribor won 2.

Maribor is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Aluminij have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Aluminij has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Maribor holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Maribor in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Maribor has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:18 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maribor against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 25:6 goals (averaging 2.5:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maribor	12	6	6	0	21:9	12	24
7	Aluminij	12	3	4	5	16:13	3	13

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Maribor: 44.89% Aluminij: 0.34%

Last Results with these Odds

Maribor - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.09.26	Radomlje - Maribor	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Maribor - NK Bravo	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWT
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
05.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Koper	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
19.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:0
23.05.26	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:0
20.03.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	1:1
06.12.25	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:3
19.09.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	2:3
Slovenian Cup
04.03.25	Maribor - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.04.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Maribor	0:2

Upcoming Matches