Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 7
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 7
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN 7
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
South Africa	18:00	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Fenerbahçe		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.28	5.75	9.25
	1.23	5.8	10.52	Watch
	1.28	6.25	10.49
	1.29	5.7	9.3
	1.26	6.1	10
	1.29	5.98	10.2	Watch
	1.27	5.6	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)	5.8 ↑ (5.26)	9.61 ↑ (8.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
74.1%

Draw
16.2%

Alanyaspor
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.5%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 22. Mercan L. 91. Kante N. 6. Guendouzi M. 17. Kahveci I. 11. Greenwood M. 70. Aydin O. 9. Lukaku R.	48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 20. Aksoy F. (C) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 55. Gezek B. 11. Ruan 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 17. Usluoglu A. 7. Kaya I.
Substitutes
7. Akturkoglu K. 3. Brown A. 14. Demir Y. E. 28. Elmaz B. 34. Gunok M. (G) 19. Muriqi V. 45. Nene D. 21. Peprah K. 8. Yandas M. 5. Yuksek I.	23. Bayram M. (G) 9. Ben Ali O. 26. Celik I. 14. Demir E. 12. Elia M. 10. Hagi I. 8. Keskin E. 58. Maestro 88. Ozdemir Y. 4. Ozyurt B.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 1 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, Mercan L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Kaya I. ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
60', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Elia M. ↑,
67', Greenwood M. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Akturkoglu K. ⚽,
73', Aydin O. 🟨,
74', Usluoglu A. ↓, Ben Ali O. ↑,
74', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
77', Kahveci I. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
77', Mercan L. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
81', Aydin O. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
81', Lukaku R. ↓, Muriqi V. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
90+1', Gezek B. ↓, Maestro ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3.

Fenerbahçe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Alanyaspor have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alanyaspor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Fenerbahçe has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, Fenerbahçe enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Fenerbahçe: Muldur M. (Knee Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Alanyaspor: Maestro (Thigh Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:21 (averaging 2.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fenerbahçe against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:9 goals (averaging 2.2:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fenerbahce	9	5	1	3	23:8	15	16
11	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Fenerbahce: 18.19% Alanyaspor: 0.54%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Turan Tovuz - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
20.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	8:0 ✺
14.09.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWT
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Alanyaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Çorum - Alanyaspor	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Eyüpspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.01.26	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3
17.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2
09.02.25	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2
30.08.24	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	3:0
11.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor	2:2
24.09.23	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:1
19.03.23	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3

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