Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 26

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Feniks-Mariupol		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.92
	2.15	3.22	3.17
	2.76	3.1	2.49	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.19	3.17	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.52)	3.1 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feniks-Mariupol
38.9%

Draw
29.5%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (+4%)

Feniks Mariupol - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Zadereyko A. (G) 4. Balaba N. 39. Balan D. (C) 5. Chornomorets O. 2. Gagun R. 27. Kucherov V. 8. Kukharuk A. 9. Kyslenko S. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 96. Synytsya O.	77. Pidkivka R. (G) 2. Gavrushko I. 19. Kozak B. 10. Kuzmyn R. 28. Len O. 15. Nych N. 27. Nyzhnyk A. 33. Sydorenko D. 20. Syomka A. 8. Teplyi V. 21. Tolochko R. (C)
Substitutes
90. Bogdanov A. 25. Gorin V. 14. Grytsak N. 77. Kovalyuk R. 84. Kusyi A. 66. Melnyk O. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 16. Radchenko M. 15. Revakovych R. 21. Tkachuk A. 1. Zhupanskyi V. (G)	4. Basovskyi D. 30. Bezkorovaynyi I. 79. Borovskyi A. 71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 5. Palyukh S. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 9. Riznyk A. 6. Sheiko A. 93. Shmygelskiy B. 69. Starikov O. 3. Zin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Kukharuk A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Sydorenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Syomka A. ↓, Riznyk A. ↑,
64', Kyslenko S. ↓, Grytsak N. ↑,
64', Synytsya O. ↓, Orikhovskyi P. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Remenyak A. ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, Balaba N. ⚽,
77', Sydorenko V. ↓, Kovalyuk R. ↑,
77', Kukharuk A. ↓, Bogdanov A. ↑,
77', Remenyak A. ↓, Melnyk O. ↑,
86', Teplyi V. ↓, Zin A. ↑,
86', Kozak B. ↓, Borovskyi A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	10	5	2	3	17:14	3	17
7	Fenix Mariupol	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLWL
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:6 ✺
12.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	UCSA - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0
24.05.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:1
20.04.24	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1

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