Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.68
	2.77	3.06	2.35
	2.28	3.03	3.15	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.49	3.37	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.18)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.7 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
36.3%

Draw
29.9%

Feniks-Mariupol
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Feniks-Mariupol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metalist Kharkiv - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (G) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 24. Fedoriv V. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O.	55. Zadereyko A. (G) 4. Balaba N. 39. Balan D. 5. Chornomorets O. 25. Gorin V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 27. Kucherov V. 8. Kukharuk A. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V.
Substitutes
21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 27. Isaenko Y. 9. Lutsiv V. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 31. Porokh B. 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 41. Smatko A. (G) 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.	2. Gagun R. 14. Grytsak N. 84. Kusyi A. 9. Kyslenko S. 66. Melnyk O. 16. Radchenko M. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Tkachuk A. 1. Zhupanskyi V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Bagachanskyi M. 🟨,
45+1', Balaba N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fedoriv V. ↓, Porokh B. ↑,
46', Kovalyuk R. ↓, Synytsya O. ↑,
46', Balaba N. ↓, Gagun R. ↑,
56', Gagun R. 🟨,
60', Orikhovskyi P. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Prykhodko D. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Grytsak N. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Feniks-Mariupol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metalist could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Fenix Mariupol	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15
9	Metalist Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	11:11	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Feniks-Mariupol	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
18.08.21	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3

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